Question

When will the world pass 1 million daily COVID cases for the seven day moving average

Resolved :Dec 29, 20212021-12-25

16 comments16

Total Forecasters32

Community Prediction2021-12-25 (2021-12-20 - 2021-12-28)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

2021-12-20 13:51

2021-12-25 19:48

2021-12-28 07:40

What was the final result?Dec 29, 2021

Community Baseline Score

8.4

Community Peer Score

75.0

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

nextbigfuture

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

COVID: Updated CDC Map Reveals Infection Rates Across US

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

COVID Update: Map Reveals States at Greatest Risk As Christmas Nears

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

How Many Lives Were Lost to COVID-19? A Look Back Nearly 5 Years Later

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?

163k

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

121k

Comments

? comments

Authors:

nextbigfuture

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

COVID: Updated CDC Map Reveals Infection Rates Across US

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

COVID Update: Map Reveals States at Greatest Risk As Christmas Nears

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

How Many Lives Were Lost to COVID-19? A Look Back Nearly 5 Years Later

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?

163k

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

121k