Question

When will the world pass 1 million daily COVID cases for the seven day moving average

Resolved :Dec 29, 2021

16 comments16

Total Forecasters32

Community Prediction2021-12-25

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

2021-12-20 13:51

2021-12-25 19:48

2021-12-28 07:40

What was the final result?Dec 29, 2021

Community Baseline Score

8.4

Community Peer Score

75.0

Authors:

nextbigfuture

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?

158k

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

122k

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Authors:

nextbigfuture

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

WHO says mpox cases in Congo’s epicenter where the new variant was detected may be ‘plateauing’

Associated Press•Nov 11, 2024

Mpox Cases Plateau in Congo's Epicenter But Rise in Other Countries

Newsweek•Nov 11, 2024

Last month was the second hottest October on RECORD: Global average temperatures hit 15.32°C - and scientists say 2024 is 'virtually certain' to be the warmest ever

Daily Mail•Nov 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?

158k

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

122k