Question
When will an AI program be better than humans at making Metaculus forecasts?
Total Forecasters167
Community Prediction2030-06-22 (2026-02-11 - 2039-09-26)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
My Prediction
communitylower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2299-12-28
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2026-02-11 09:13
2030-06-22 08:12
2039-09-26 22:48
2.6%
Authors:
Opened:Apr 24, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2299
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2300
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Apr 24, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2299
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2300
