Question

When will the first babies screened by Orchid Health be born?

19 comments19

Total Forecasters22

Community Prediction2024-05

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2030-01

...

2023-04

2024-05

2025-10

11.5%

Authors:

2e10e122

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

In vitro fertilisation

Biotechnology

Medicine

Polygenic score

Reproductive medicine

Preimplantation genetic diagnosis

Polygenic Selection of Embryos

By 2050, Will at least 20% of US births be screened as embryos to detect genetic disorders or disabilities?

49%

When will we see the first live birth from human in vitro gametogenesis?

2032-09

Comments

? comments

Authors:

2e10e122

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

In vitro fertilisation

Biotechnology

Medicine

Polygenic score

Reproductive medicine

Preimplantation genetic diagnosis

Thousands of people with type 1 diabetes set to receive artificial pancreas in £14.1m NHS rollout - spelling the end of finger-prick blood tests and insulin jabs

Daily Mail•Oct 2, 2024

Babies born via IVF are more likely to have a heart defect: study

New York Post•Oct 2, 2024

There's a New Blood Test to Predict Preterm Birth

Time•Oct 2, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Polygenic Selection of Embryos

By 2050, Will at least 20% of US births be screened as embryos to detect genetic disorders or disabilities?

49%

When will we see the first live birth from human in vitro gametogenesis?

2032-09

MetaculusM

🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

When will the first babies screened by Orchid Health be born?

Make a Prediction

Polygenic Selection of Embryos

By 2050, Will at least 20% of US births be screened as embryos to detect genetic disorders or disabilities?

When will we see the first live birth from human in vitro gametogenesis?

Comments

Polygenic Selection of Embryos

By 2050, Will at least 20% of US births be screened as embryos to detect genetic disorders or disabilities?

When will we see the first live birth from human in vitro gametogenesis?

Polygenic Selection of Embryos

By 2050, Will at least 20% of US births be screened as embryos to detect genetic disorders or disabilities?

When will we see the first live birth from human in vitro gametogenesis?

Polygenic Selection of Embryos

By 2050, Will at least 20% of US births be screened as embryos to detect genetic disorders or disabilities?

When will we see the first live birth from human in vitro gametogenesis?