🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

When will a Nobel Prize be awarded for COVID19-related accomplishments?

Resolved :Oct 2, 20232027-08-10
10
14
Total Forecasters30
Community Prediction2027-08-10 (2023-11-18 - 2034-04-20)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2046-12-30
...
...
...
...
2023-11-18 14:03
2027-08-10 07:06
2034-04-20 19:30
8.8%

What was the final result?Oct 2, 2023

Community Baseline Score
40.0
Community Peer Score
27.3
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
citizen
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Health & Pandemics
Natural Sciences
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Virology
Luc Montagnier
Harvey J. Alter
Michael Houghton (virologist)
Charles M. Rice
Hepatitis C
Public health
COVID-19
Infectious disease

Comments

? comments