Question
When will a Nobel Prize be awarded for COVID19-related accomplishments?
Resolved :Oct 2, 20232027-08-10Total Forecasters30
Community Prediction2027-08-10 (2023-11-18 - 2034-04-20)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Nov 2023 | — |
| median | Aug 2027 | — |
| upper 75% | Apr 2034 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2046-12-30 | 8.8% | — |
What was the final result?Oct 2, 2023
Community Baseline Score
40.0
Community Peer Score
27.3
Authors:
Opened:Apr 21, 2021
Closes:Oct 3, 2021
Resolves:Oct 2, 2023
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Apr 21, 2021
Closes:Oct 3, 2021
Resolves:Oct 2, 2023
