Question

When will a biocomputer be able to perform an SHA-256 hash?

10 comments10

Total Forecasters18

Community Prediction2045-12-05 (2038-07-30 - 2059-08-22)

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weight:

My Prediction

community

<2022-04-14

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2060-12-29

...

0.4%

2038-07-30 23:57

2045-12-05 14:03

2059-08-22 19:52

23.2%

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Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Cybersecurity standards

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Comments

? comments

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Cybersecurity standards

Scientists measure exact speed of human thought – the results are surprising

Independent•Dec 24, 2024

How to fix computing's AI energy problem: run everything backwards

New Scientist•Dec 24, 2024

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Independent•Dec 26, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many qubits will the best quantum processor have by the year 2050?

14.7M

When will a benchtop DNA synthesizer be available for sale that can synthesize DNA with the following lengths?

2028-10-06

If a benchtop DNA synthesizer that can synthesize DNA with 5,000 bases is commercially available in 2030, what will be the cost of the cheapest model (in 2024 US dollars)?

189k