Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?

Resolved :No1%
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5
Total Forecasters133
Community Prediction1% (1% - 1%)

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50%
community: 1%

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Community Baseline Score
85.2
Community Peer Score
5.4
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Authors:
IARPA Question Bot
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge
Geopolitics
2018 Leaderboard
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
Turkey

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