Question

Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?

Resolved :No

5 comments5

Total Forecasters133

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

85.2

Community Peer Score

5.4

median 1.0%mean 4.9%

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IARPA Question Bot

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IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge

Geopolitics

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

Turkey

Will Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed experience a significant leadership disruption before 2025?

13%

Will Turkey be a NATO member continuously until January 1, 2025?

99%

Will the minimum wage in Türkiye (Turkey) increase again before 2025?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

IARPA Question Bot

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge

Geopolitics

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

Turkey

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Will Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed experience a significant leadership disruption before 2025?

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Will Turkey be a NATO member continuously until January 1, 2025?

99%