Question

What will the age-adjusted mortality rate be in England and Wales in 2051?

3 comments3

Total Forecasters9

Community Prediction815

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2.5k

...

590.3

814.9

1.025k

0.5%

Authors:

emilowk

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Social Sciences

England and Wales

Office for National Statistics (UK)

When will biological lifespans increase faster than 0.75 years per year?

2066-02-08

What will be the global mortality rate (in percent) for children under the age of 5 in the following years?

3.48

Will there be any progress in human lifespan enhancement by 2100?

96%

Comments

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Authors:

emilowk

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Social Sciences

England and Wales

Office for National Statistics (UK)

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Spectator (UK)•Nov 12, 2024

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Guardian•Nov 15, 2024

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Newsweek•Nov 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will biological lifespans increase faster than 0.75 years per year?

2066-02-08

What will be the global mortality rate (in percent) for children under the age of 5 in the following years?

3.48

Will there be any progress in human lifespan enhancement by 2100?

96%