Question

How far away is the nearest independent origination of life?

12 comments12

Total Forecasters42

Community Prediction1e16

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My Prediction

community

<20k

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>1e25

...

5.2%

1.6e12

1e16

4.7e19

8.5%

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Space

Natural Sciences

Astronomy

Atmosphere of Jupiter

How far from Earth (in km) is the nearest celestial object with stable liquid water on its surface?

2.8e14

When will the first evidence of extraterrestrial life be discovered?

2078-03

Will Europa be the first place humanity will discover extraterrestrial life, if it is discovered before 2045?

25%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Space

Natural Sciences

Astronomy

Atmosphere of Jupiter

How far from Earth (in km) is the nearest celestial object with stable liquid water on its surface?

2.8e14

When will the first evidence of extraterrestrial life be discovered?

2078-03

Will Europa be the first place humanity will discover extraterrestrial life, if it is discovered before 2045?

25%

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How far away is the nearest independent origination of life?

Make a Prediction

How far from Earth (in km) is the nearest celestial object with stable liquid water on its surface?

When will the first evidence of extraterrestrial life be discovered?

Will Europa be the first place humanity will discover extraterrestrial life, if it is discovered before 2045?

Comments

How far from Earth (in km) is the nearest celestial object with stable liquid water on its surface?

When will the first evidence of extraterrestrial life be discovered?

Will Europa be the first place humanity will discover extraterrestrial life, if it is discovered before 2045?

How far from Earth (in km) is the nearest celestial object with stable liquid water on its surface?

When will the first evidence of extraterrestrial life be discovered?

Will Europa be the first place humanity will discover extraterrestrial life, if it is discovered before 2045?

How far from Earth (in km) is the nearest celestial object with stable liquid water on its surface?

When will the first evidence of extraterrestrial life be discovered?

Will Europa be the first place humanity will discover extraterrestrial life, if it is discovered before 2045?