Question
How far away is the nearest independent origination of life?
Total Forecasters42
Community Prediction1×10¹⁶ (1.62T - 4.7×10¹⁹)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <20k | 5.2% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 1.621T | — |
| median | 1×10¹⁶ | — |
| upper 75% | 4.7×10¹⁹ | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >1×10²⁵ | 8.5% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Apr 23, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Apr 23, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
