M

Question

Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?

Resolved :No
6
2
Total Forecasters125
Community Prediction1%

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50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
81.2
Community Peer Score
9.7
median 1.0%mean 4.5%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
IARPA Question Bot
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge
Geopolitics
Turkey
Russo-Ukrainian War
North Atlantic Treaty
Ukraine–NATO relations
Syria
Article Four
United States
Poland
NATO

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