Question

Will the Nonlinear Fund have more than eight full-time equivalent employees on January 1, 2026?

6 comments6

Total Forecasters13

Community Prediction67% (39% - 77%)

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50%

community: 67%

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Authors:

NunoSempere

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Ethics

AI control problem

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Will the Forethought Foundation have more than two full-time equivalent employees in 2025?

69%

Will the Simon Institute for Longterm Governance have more than two full-time employees in 2025?

51%

Will MIRI employ researchers in 2030?

66%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

NunoSempere

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Ethics

AI control problem

OpenAI's $5 Billion Problem Amid Leadership Crisis is Complicating Matters for Sam Altman

•Dec 17, 2024

Sam Altman: OpenAI's shift from non-profit to for-profit: Why it's controversial and what it could mean

•Dec 17, 2024

OpenAI has 4 big challenges it needs to conquer in its quest for AI dominance

•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the Forethought Foundation have more than two full-time equivalent employees in 2025?

69%

Will the Simon Institute for Longterm Governance have more than two full-time employees in 2025?

51%

Will MIRI employ researchers in 2030?

66%