Question

Will the Forethought Foundation have more than two full-time equivalent employees in 2025?

12 comments12

Total Forecasters20

Community Prediction69% (68% - 75%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 69%

Authors:

NunoSempere

Opened:

Jul 1, 2021

Closes:

Dec 30, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 30, 2025

2021-2025 Leaderboard

William MacAskill

How OpenAI’s Sam Altman Is Thinking About AGI and Superintelligence in 2025

Time•Jan 22, 2025

Bridgewater cuts 7% of staff

Business Insider•Jan 23, 2025

Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei Believes A.I. Could Double Human Lifespans in 5 Years

Observer (NY)•Jan 25, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the Simon Institute for Longterm Governance have more than two full-time employees in 2025?

51%

Will the Nonlinear Fund have more than eight full-time equivalent employees on January 1, 2026?

67%

Will MIRI employ researchers in 2030?

66%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

NunoSempere

Opened:

Jul 1, 2021

Closes:

Dec 30, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 30, 2025

2021-2025 Leaderboard

William MacAskill

How OpenAI’s Sam Altman Is Thinking About AGI and Superintelligence in 2025

Time•Jan 22, 2025

Bridgewater cuts 7% of staff

Business Insider•Jan 23, 2025

Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei Believes A.I. Could Double Human Lifespans in 5 Years

Observer (NY)•Jan 25, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the Simon Institute for Longterm Governance have more than two full-time employees in 2025?

51%

Will the Nonlinear Fund have more than eight full-time equivalent employees on January 1, 2026?

67%

Will MIRI employ researchers in 2030?

66%