Question

Will the Forethought Foundation have more than two full-time equivalent employees in 2025?

12 comments12

Total Forecasters20

Community Prediction69% (68% - 75%)

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50%

community: 69%

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Authors:

NunoSempere

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2021-2025 Leaderboard

William MacAskill

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Will the Simon Institute for Longterm Governance have more than two full-time employees in 2025?

51%

Will the Nonlinear Fund have more than eight full-time equivalent employees on January 1, 2026?

67%

Will MIRI employ researchers in 2030?

66%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

NunoSempere

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

2021-2025 Leaderboard

William MacAskill

OpenAI announces new o3 models

TechCrunch•Dec 21, 2024

OpenAI is done with Shipmas and staring down daunting challenges for 2025

NBC•Dec 21, 2024

Wall Street headhunters are gearing up for a 'bonkers' hiring market in 2025 — here's what to expect

Business Insider•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the Simon Institute for Longterm Governance have more than two full-time employees in 2025?

51%

Will the Nonlinear Fund have more than eight full-time equivalent employees on January 1, 2026?

67%

Will MIRI employ researchers in 2030?

66%

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Will the Forethought Foundation have more than two full-time equivalent employees in 2025?

Make a Prediction

Will the Simon Institute for Longterm Governance have more than two full-time employees in 2025?

Will the Nonlinear Fund have more than eight full-time equivalent employees on January 1, 2026?

Will MIRI employ researchers in 2030?

Comments

Will the Simon Institute for Longterm Governance have more than two full-time employees in 2025?

Will the Nonlinear Fund have more than eight full-time equivalent employees on January 1, 2026?

Will MIRI employ researchers in 2030?

Will the Simon Institute for Longterm Governance have more than two full-time employees in 2025?

Will the Nonlinear Fund have more than eight full-time equivalent employees on January 1, 2026?

Will MIRI employ researchers in 2030?

Will the Simon Institute for Longterm Governance have more than two full-time employees in 2025?

Will the Nonlinear Fund have more than eight full-time equivalent employees on January 1, 2026?

Will MIRI employ researchers in 2030?