Question

When will the first biological human to live to the age of 1000 be born?

68 comments68

Total Forecasters191

Community Prediction2298-03

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<1893-04

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2999-12

...

2.3%

2025-10

2298-03

2999-12

31.1%

Authors:

Andura

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Gerontology Research Group

Medicine

Cryonics

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Andura

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Gerontology Research Group

Medicine

Cryonics

Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

25%

Will there be any progress in human lifespan enhancement by 2100?

96%

When will biological lifespans increase faster than 0.75 years per year?

2066-02

MetaculusM

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When will the first biological human to live to the age of 1000 be born?

Make a Prediction

Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

Will there be any progress in human lifespan enhancement by 2100?

When will biological lifespans increase faster than 0.75 years per year?

Comments

Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

Will there be any progress in human lifespan enhancement by 2100?

When will biological lifespans increase faster than 0.75 years per year?

Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

Will there be any progress in human lifespan enhancement by 2100?

When will biological lifespans increase faster than 0.75 years per year?

Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

Will there be any progress in human lifespan enhancement by 2100?

When will biological lifespans increase faster than 0.75 years per year?