Question

Will Magnus Carlsen retain the Chess World Championship for a fifth time?

Resolved :Yes

26 comments26

Total Forecasters108

Community Prediction79%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 79%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

68.3

Community Peer Score

1.9

median 79.0%mean 78.4%

Authors:

SimonM

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Sports & Entertainment

Dubai

World Chess Championship

Who will be the next #1 FIDE-ranked chess player?

When will Magnus Carlsen no longer be the top FIDE-ranked chess player?

2026-05-27

Who will win the 2024 World Chess Championship?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

SimonM

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Sports & Entertainment

Dubai

World Chess Championship

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Who will be the next #1 FIDE-ranked chess player?

When will Magnus Carlsen no longer be the top FIDE-ranked chess player?

2026-05-27