Question

Will Bitcoin move away from proof-of-work before 2035?

26 comments26

Total Forecasters113

Community Prediction6%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 6%

median 6.0%mean 9.0%

Authors:

jungler

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Information technology

Proof of work

Bitcoin

Will a cryptocurrency be created using a quantum random number generator by 2036?

67%

When will a discernible, coordinated Bitcoin mining pool attain >=50% of the hashing power for 24-hours?

2025-09-15

When will a biocomputer be able to perform an SHA-256 hash?

2045-12-05

Comments

? comments

Authors:

jungler

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Information technology

Proof of work

Bitcoin

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Forbes•Nov 12, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a cryptocurrency be created using a quantum random number generator by 2036?

67%

When will a discernible, coordinated Bitcoin mining pool attain >=50% of the hashing power for 24-hours?

2025-09-15

When will a biocomputer be able to perform an SHA-256 hash?

2045-12-05