Question

Will Bitcoin move away from proof-of-work before 2035?

26 comments26

Total Forecasters113

Community Prediction6%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 6%

median 6.0%mean 9.0%

Authors:

jungler

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Information technology

Proof of work

Bitcoin

Detroit Embraces Crypto For Tax Payments: Risks And Potential

Forbes•Nov 11, 2024

Bitcoin has topped $87,000 for a new record high. What to know about crypto’s post-election rally

Associated Press•Nov 12, 2024

Bitcoin Continues Its Ascent To $100,000 Amid Ethereum, Solana, Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, BNB, XRP, Avalanche Rebound

Forbes•Nov 12, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a cryptocurrency be created using a quantum random number generator by 2036?

67%

When will a discernible, coordinated Bitcoin mining pool attain >=50% of the hashing power for 24-hours?

2025-09-15

When will a biocomputer be able to perform an SHA-256 hash?

2045-12-05

Comments

? comments

Authors:

jungler

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Information technology

Proof of work

Bitcoin

Detroit Embraces Crypto For Tax Payments: Risks And Potential

Forbes•Nov 11, 2024

Bitcoin has topped $87,000 for a new record high. What to know about crypto’s post-election rally

Associated Press•Nov 12, 2024

Bitcoin Continues Its Ascent To $100,000 Amid Ethereum, Solana, Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, BNB, XRP, Avalanche Rebound

Forbes•Nov 12, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a cryptocurrency be created using a quantum random number generator by 2036?

67%

When will a discernible, coordinated Bitcoin mining pool attain >=50% of the hashing power for 24-hours?

2025-09-15

When will a biocomputer be able to perform an SHA-256 hash?

2045-12-05