Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Question
Question
What will be the population of Próspera in 2035?
40
25 comments
25
1d
1w
2m
all
Total Forecasters
80
Community Prediction
112
Make a Prediction
Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
Sign Up to Predict
My Prediction
community
<100
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>1M
...
...
...
...
...
47.3%
100
112.1
744.2
0.4%
Background Info
Authors:
2e10e122
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Social Sciences
Roatán
Esporte Clube Próspera
Paul Romer
Honduras
Submit Tags Feedback
Comments
recent
? comments
Log in
Load more comments
Follow
embed
Authors:
2e10e122
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Social Sciences
Roatán
Esporte Clube Próspera
Paul Romer
Honduras
Submit Tags Feedback
News Match
Poll: One in Three Say Migration Should Be Top Priority for the President’s First 100 Days in 2025
Breitbart
•
Oct 29, 2024
$7 billion ‘city within a city’ to be constructed in Phoenix
New York Post
•
Oct 29, 2024
Depressing new reality of housing crisis in San Francisco - $700 dormitory-style sleep pods
Daily Mail
•
Oct 30, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
News Match
Poll: One in Three Say Migration Should Be Top Priority for the President’s First 100 Days in 2025
Breitbart
•
Oct 29, 2024
$7 billion ‘city within a city’ to be constructed in Phoenix
New York Post
•
Oct 29, 2024
Depressing new reality of housing crisis in San Francisco - $700 dormitory-style sleep pods
Daily Mail
•
Oct 30, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
Similar Questions
Will Próspera at any point before 2035 have at least 10,000 residents?
5%
How many charter cities will exist by 2026?
38.4
Will Praxis Society have built a physical city with at least 1,000 full-time residents by 2040?
30%
Show More Questions
Similar Questions
Will Próspera at any point before 2035 have at least 10,000 residents?
5%
How many charter cities will exist by 2026?
38.4
Will Praxis Society have built a physical city with at least 1,000 full-time residents by 2040?
30%
Show More Questions