Question

What will be the population of Próspera in 2035?

25 comments25

Total Forecasters80

Community Prediction112

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<100

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>1M

...

47.3%

100

112

744

0.4%

Authors:

2e10e122

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Social Sciences

Roatán

Esporte Clube Próspera

Paul Romer

Honduras

Will Próspera at any point before 2035 have at least 10,000 residents?

How many charter cities will exist by 2026?

38.4

Will Praxis Society have built a physical city with at least 1,000 full-time residents by 2040?

30%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

2e10e122

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Social Sciences

Roatán

Esporte Clube Próspera

Paul Romer

Honduras

Will Próspera at any point before 2035 have at least 10,000 residents?

How many charter cities will exist by 2026?

38.4

Will Praxis Society have built a physical city with at least 1,000 full-time residents by 2040?

30%

MetaculusM

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What will be the population of Próspera in 2035?

Make a Prediction

Will Próspera at any point before 2035 have at least 10,000 residents?

How many charter cities will exist by 2026?

Will Praxis Society have built a physical city with at least 1,000 full-time residents by 2040?

Comments

Will Próspera at any point before 2035 have at least 10,000 residents?

How many charter cities will exist by 2026?

Will Praxis Society have built a physical city with at least 1,000 full-time residents by 2040?

Will Próspera at any point before 2035 have at least 10,000 residents?

How many charter cities will exist by 2026?

Will Praxis Society have built a physical city with at least 1,000 full-time residents by 2040?

Will Próspera at any point before 2035 have at least 10,000 residents?

How many charter cities will exist by 2026?

Will Praxis Society have built a physical city with at least 1,000 full-time residents by 2040?