Question

When will the fraction of English books that mention "Deep Learning" peak, over the 2021 to 2045 period (inclusive)?

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Total Forecasters16

Community Prediction2030-12-26

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

2026-01-02 01:04

2030-12-26 11:08

2034-04-01 21:50

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AGI Outcomes

Artificial Intelligence

Will the first AGI be based on deep learning?

95%

How many Natural Language Processing e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2030-01-14 period?

110k

Between 2023 and 2030, will revenue from deep learning double every two years?

51%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AGI Outcomes

Artificial Intelligence

Iterative Intelligence and the Dawn of Learner-Centricity

Psychology Today•Nov 14, 2024

Personalized AI and the Future of Teaching and Learning

Psychology Today•Nov 17, 2024

Those bold AGI predictions are suddenly looking stretched

Business Insider•Nov 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the first AGI be based on deep learning?

95%

How many Natural Language Processing e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2030-01-14 period?

110k

Between 2023 and 2030, will revenue from deep learning double every two years?

51%