Question
Will a Tesla car demonstrate fully autonomous capability before the end of 2021?
Resolved :No1%Total Forecasters122
Community Prediction1% (1% - 2%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?No
Community Baseline Score
98.4
Community Peer Score
2.3
Authors:
Opened:May 11, 2021
Closes:Oct 31, 2021
Resolves:Jan 1, 2022
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Long Bets series: Will Tesla have been the first company with 1 million SAE Level 4 autonomy on over 90% of public roads in the contiguous United States by January 1st 2037?
56%
Will at least 95% of all new road vehicles with 4+ wheels sold in the US in 2075 have SAE Level 5 autonomy?
92%
Will Tesla be able to mass produce humanoid robots by the end of 2027?
25%
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:May 11, 2021
Closes:Oct 31, 2021
Resolves:Jan 1, 2022
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Long Bets series: Will Tesla have been the first company with 1 million SAE Level 4 autonomy on over 90% of public roads in the contiguous United States by January 1st 2037?
56%
Will at least 95% of all new road vehicles with 4+ wheels sold in the US in 2075 have SAE Level 5 autonomy?
92%
Will Tesla be able to mass produce humanoid robots by the end of 2027?
25%