Question

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2021 California recall election?

Resolved :Yes

86 comments86

Total Forecasters196

Community Prediction93%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 93%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

76.1

Community Peer Score

9.8

median 93.0%mean 87.5%

Authors:

SimonM

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

Gavin Newsom

2022 California gubernatorial election

California gubernatorial recall election

Will California pass a wealth tax before the following years?

Will California carry through with Governor Newsom's plan to sell only zero-emission electric cars and passenger trucks by 2035?

50%

Will California have a lower GDP per capita than at most nine countries in the world in 2050?

55%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

SimonM

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

Gavin Newsom

2022 California gubernatorial election

California gubernatorial recall election

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will California pass a wealth tax before the following years?

Will California carry through with Governor Newsom's plan to sell only zero-emission electric cars and passenger trucks by 2035?

50%

Will California have a lower GDP per capita than at most nine countries in the world in 2050?

55%