Question

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2021 California recall election?

Resolved :Yes

86 comments86

Total Forecasters196

Community Prediction93%

Make a Prediction

community: 93%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

76.1

Community Peer Score

9.8

median 93.0%mean 87.5%

Authors:

SimonM

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

Gavin Newsom

2022 California gubernatorial election

California gubernatorial recall election

AP Decision Notes: What to expect in California on Election Day

Associated Press•Oct 22, 2024

Newsom Tries to Help Democrats Salas, Gray in Rural California by Staying Away

Breitbart•Oct 23, 2024

California Dems In Tight House Races Back Tough-On-Crime Ballot Measure That Newsom Opposes

Daily Caller•Oct 25, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will California pass a wealth tax before the following years?

Will California carry through with Governor Newsom's plan to sell only zero-emission electric cars and passenger trucks by 2035?

50%

Will California have a lower GDP per capita than at most nine countries in the world in 2050?

55%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

SimonM

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

Gavin Newsom

2022 California gubernatorial election

California gubernatorial recall election

AP Decision Notes: What to expect in California on Election Day

Associated Press•Oct 22, 2024

Newsom Tries to Help Democrats Salas, Gray in Rural California by Staying Away

Breitbart•Oct 23, 2024

California Dems In Tight House Races Back Tough-On-Crime Ballot Measure That Newsom Opposes

Daily Caller•Oct 25, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will California pass a wealth tax before the following years?

Will California carry through with Governor Newsom's plan to sell only zero-emission electric cars and passenger trucks by 2035?

50%

Will California have a lower GDP per capita than at most nine countries in the world in 2050?

55%

MetaculusM

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Will Gavin Newsom win the 2021 California recall election?

Make a Prediction

Will California pass a wealth tax before the following years?

Will California carry through with Governor Newsom's plan to sell only zero-emission electric cars and passenger trucks by 2035?

Will California have a lower GDP per capita than at most nine countries in the world in 2050?

Comments

Will California pass a wealth tax before the following years?

Will California carry through with Governor Newsom's plan to sell only zero-emission electric cars and passenger trucks by 2035?

Will California have a lower GDP per capita than at most nine countries in the world in 2050?