Question

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2021 California recall election?

Resolved :Yes93%

86 comments86

Total Forecasters196

Community Prediction93% (87% - 95%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 93%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

76.1

Community Peer Score

9.8

Authors:

SimonM

Opened:

Apr 30, 2021

Closes:

Sep 13, 2021

Resolves:

Sep 15, 2021

Politics

2021 Leaderboard

Gavin Newsom

2022 California gubernatorial election

California gubernatorial recall election

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79%

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