Question

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2021 California recall election?

Resolved :Yes

86 comments86

Total Forecasters196

Community Prediction93%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 93%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

76.1

Community Peer Score

9.8

median 93.0%mean 87.5%

Authors:

SimonM

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

Gavin Newsom

2022 California gubernatorial election

California gubernatorial recall election

Will California pass a wealth tax before the following years?

Will California carry through with Governor Newsom's plan to sell only zero-emission electric cars and passenger trucks by 2035?

50%

Will California have a lower GDP per capita than at most nine countries in the world in 2050?

55%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

SimonM

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

Gavin Newsom

2022 California gubernatorial election

California gubernatorial recall election

Gavin Newsom to meet with Biden after vowing to protect state’s progressive policies against Trump admin

FOX News•Nov 12, 2024

California Gov. Gavin Newsom will spend part of week in DC as he tries to Trump-proof state policies

Associated Press•Nov 12, 2024

Newsom Is Traveling to DC This Week. Here's Why.

Townhall•Nov 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will California pass a wealth tax before the following years?

Will California carry through with Governor Newsom's plan to sell only zero-emission electric cars and passenger trucks by 2035?

50%

Will California have a lower GDP per capita than at most nine countries in the world in 2050?

55%