Question

What will the percent of Virginia's population vaccinated with at least one dose be on 1 August 2021?

Resolved :60.462.6

23 comments23

Total Forecasters65

Community Prediction62.6 (61.1 - 64.5)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

61.08

62.63

64.53

What was the final result?60.4

Community Baseline Score

87.1

Community Peer Score

17.2

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Keep Virginia Safe Tournament

Keep Virginia Safe: Round 1

Health & Pandemics

2021 Leaderboard

Virginia

Food and Drug Administration

Moderna

Janssen Pharmaceutica

COVID: Updated CDC Map Reveals Infection Rates Across US

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

What Americans think of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and his health stances

Associated Press•Dec 18, 2024

Polls show Americans conflicted on Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and his health stances

PBS NewsHour•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

8.11

What percentage of older US adults will receive vaccinations for the 2024-2025 seasons for flu, COVID, and RSV at the end of December 2024 and the end of March 2025?

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

48%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Keep Virginia Safe Tournament

Keep Virginia Safe: Round 1

Health & Pandemics

2021 Leaderboard

Virginia

Food and Drug Administration

Moderna

Janssen Pharmaceutica

COVID: Updated CDC Map Reveals Infection Rates Across US

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

What Americans think of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and his health stances

Associated Press•Dec 18, 2024

Polls show Americans conflicted on Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and his health stances

PBS NewsHour•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

8.11

What percentage of older US adults will receive vaccinations for the 2024-2025 seasons for flu, COVID, and RSV at the end of December 2024 and the end of March 2025?

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

48%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

What will the percent of Virginia's population vaccinated with at least one dose be on 1 August 2021?

Make a Prediction

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

What percentage of older US adults will receive vaccinations for the 2024-2025 seasons for flu, COVID, and RSV at the end of December 2024 and the end of March 2025?

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

Comments

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

What percentage of older US adults will receive vaccinations for the 2024-2025 seasons for flu, COVID, and RSV at the end of December 2024 and the end of March 2025?

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

What percentage of older US adults will receive vaccinations for the 2024-2025 seasons for flu, COVID, and RSV at the end of December 2024 and the end of March 2025?

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

What percentage of older US adults will receive vaccinations for the 2024-2025 seasons for flu, COVID, and RSV at the end of December 2024 and the end of March 2025?

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?