Question

What will the percent of Virginia's population vaccinated with at least one dose be on 1 August 2021?

Resolved :60.4

23 comments23

Total Forecasters65

Community Prediction62.6

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

61.08

62.63

64.53

What was the final result?60.4

Community Baseline Score

87.1

Community Peer Score

17.2

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Keep Virginia Safe Tournament

Keep Virginia Safe: Round 1

Health & Pandemics

Virginia

Food and Drug Administration

Moderna

Janssen Pharmaceutica

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

8.06

What percentage of older US adults will receive vaccinations for the 2024-2025 seasons for flu, COVID, and RSV at the end of December 2024 and the end of March 2025?

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

50%

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