Question

Will at least one SARS-CoV-2 vaccines be granted emergency use authorization by the U.S. FDA for children under 12 years old before 1 September 2021?

Resolved :No

14 comments14

Total Forecasters73

Community Prediction4%

Make a Prediction

community: 4%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

29.0

Community Peer Score

80.5

median 4.0%mean 8.0%

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Keep Virginia Safe Tournament

Keep Virginia Safe: Round 1

Health & Pandemics

Food and Drug Administration

COVID-19

Moderna

Janssen Pharmaceutica

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

Before 2032, will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

95%

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

7.99

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