Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

What will the cumulative vaccination rate ratio for Black Virginians be in July 2021?

Resolved :0.90.815
14
Total Forecasters47
Community Prediction0.815 (0.754 - 0.894)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2
...
...
...
...
0.754
0.8147
0.8939
0.1%

What was the final result?0.9

Community Baseline Score
80.9
Community Peer Score
25.8
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Metaculus-Partnersjuancambeiro
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Keep Virginia Safe Tournament
Keep Virginia Safe: Round 1
Health & Pandemics
2021 Leaderboard
Virginia
Virginia Department of Health
Public health
Medicine
COVID-19
Virology

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