Question

In Virginia, which month between May 2021 and March 2022 (inclusive) will have the highest number of new COVID-19 cases?

Resolved :95.14

12 comments12

Total Forecasters44

Community Prediction5.14 (4.98 - 8.95)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

4.975

5.141

8.949

What was the final result?9

Community Baseline Score

50.5

Community Peer Score

105.5

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Keep Virginia Safe Tournament

Keep Virginia Safe: Round 1

Doctors warn of a 'quad-demic' this winter as four viral infections soar and mask mandates creep back in

Daily Mail•Dec 16, 2024

COVID: Updated CDC Map Reveals Infection Rates Across US

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

COVID-19 Rates Are Strangely Low This Holiday Season

Time•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

48%

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8

When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2024-2025 season?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Keep Virginia Safe Tournament

Keep Virginia Safe: Round 1

Doctors warn of a 'quad-demic' this winter as four viral infections soar and mask mandates creep back in

Daily Mail•Dec 16, 2024

COVID: Updated CDC Map Reveals Infection Rates Across US

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

COVID-19 Rates Are Strangely Low This Holiday Season

Time•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

48%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

In Virginia, which month between May 2021 and March 2022 (inclusive) will have the highest number of new COVID-19 cases?

Make a Prediction

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8

When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2024-2025 season?

Comments

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8

When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2024-2025 season?

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8

When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2024-2025 season?

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8

When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2024-2025 season?