Question

In Virginia, which month between May 2021 and March 2022 (inclusive) will have the highest number of new COVID-19 cases?

Resolved :9

12 comments12

Total Forecasters44

Community Prediction5.14

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

4.975

5.141

8.949

What was the final result?9

Community Baseline Score

50.5

Community Peer Score

105.5

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Keep Virginia Safe Tournament

Keep Virginia Safe: Round 1

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

50%

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8

When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2024-2025 season?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Keep Virginia Safe Tournament

Keep Virginia Safe: Round 1

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Whooping cough cases up more than 340% over this time last year

FOX News•Oct 12, 2024

Whooping cough infections climb to over 17,600 cases in the US

New York Post•Oct 12, 2024

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Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

50%