Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

In Virginia, what will be the 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable cases on 1 August 2021?

Resolved :1.25k194
10
Total Forecasters46
Community Prediction194 (85.5 - 377)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>6k
...
...
...
...
85.47
194.4
377.2
0.1%

What was the final result?1.25k

Community Baseline Score
4.5
Community Peer Score
23.5
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Metaculus-Partnersjuancambeiro
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Keep Virginia Safe Tournament
Keep Virginia Safe: Round 1
Health & Pandemics
2021 Leaderboard
Virginia
Public health
Medicine
COVID-19
Virology

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