Question

Will variants of concerns thought to partially escape immunity make up more than 50% of samples sequenced in Virginia on 29 August - 11 September 2021?

Resolved :No66%

20 comments20

Total Forecasters57

Community Prediction66% (60% - 77%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 66%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-37.3

Community Peer Score

6.0

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners juancambeiro

Opened:

Apr 29, 2021

Closes:

Jul 29, 2021

Resolves:

Oct 1, 2021

Keep Virginia Safe Tournament

Keep Virginia Safe: Round 1

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Comments

? comments

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners juancambeiro

Opened:

Apr 29, 2021

Closes:

Jul 29, 2021

Resolves:

Oct 1, 2021

Keep Virginia Safe Tournament

Keep Virginia Safe: Round 1

Doctors' warning as cases of HMPV virus ravaging China double in the US

Daily Mail•Jan 25, 2025

What Is Human Metapneumovirus, and Why Are Cases Rising in China?

Scientific American•Jan 25, 2025

UK experts urge China to reveal crucial details of HPMV outbreak - as cases DOUBLE in Britain

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Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?