Question

Will all local health districts in Virginia either be in declining or plateau trajectories OR report fewer than 5 cases per 100k residents per week for 3 consecutive weeks prior to 1 September 2021?

Resolved :No

38 comments38

Total Forecasters55

Community Prediction2%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 2%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

8.6

Community Peer Score

15.5

median 2.0%mean 4.9%

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Keep Virginia Safe Tournament

Keep Virginia Safe: Round 1

Health & Pandemics

Virginia

University of Virginia

Virginia Department of Health

Local health departments in the United States

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

50%

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8

The Keep Virginia Safe Tournament 2021/22: Project Summary

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