🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

How many of Virginia's 35 Local Health Districts will the UVA Biocomplexity Institute identify as being "In Surge" in the slide deck dated 16 June 2021?

Resolved :01.41
1
12
Total Forecasters38
Community Prediction1.41 (0.376 - 3.48)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
0.3758
1.414
3.477

What was the final result?0

Community Baseline Score
137.2
Community Peer Score
61.0
Authors:
Metaculus-Partnersjuancambeiro
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Keep Virginia Safe Tournament
Keep Virginia Safe: Round 1
Health & Pandemics
2021 Leaderboard
Virginia
University of Virginia
Virginia Department of Health
Local health departments in the United States
Public health
Medicine
COVID-19
Virology

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