Question

Will Próspera's population in 2021 be larger than 1,000?

Resolved :No1%

17 comments17

Total Forecasters99

Community Prediction1% (1% - 3%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

83.2

Community Peer Score

6.9

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

SimonM

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elon Musk wants to turn SpaceX site in Texas into his own city

Independent•Dec 16, 2024

American Singapore: A MAGA Agenda for Puerto Rico

American Conservative•Dec 18, 2024

Immigration drives US population growth to highest rate in 23 years as residents pass 340 million

•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the population of Próspera in 2035?

116

Will Próspera at any point before 2035 have at least 10,000 residents?

Will Praxis Society have built a physical city with at least 1,000 full-time residents by 2040?

29.5%

Comments

? comments