Question

Will Próspera's population in 2021 be larger than 1,000?

Resolved :No1%

17 comments17

Total Forecasters99

Community Prediction1% (1% - 3%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

83.2

Community Peer Score

6.9

Authors:

SimonM

Opened:

May 1, 2021

Closes:

Dec 1, 2021

Resolves:

Jan 2, 2022

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the population of Próspera in 2035?

119

Will Próspera at any point before 2035 have at least 10,000 residents?

4.9%

Will Praxis Society have built a physical city with at least 1,000 full-time residents by 2040?

21%

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