Question

What will be the cumulative number of deaths in the US due to COVID-19 on 2021-12-31?

Resolved :826k701k

5 comments5

Total Forecasters26

Community Prediction701k (658k - 752k)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>1.1M

...

657.6k

700.9k

752.1k

1.0%

What was the final result?826k

Community Baseline Score

-17.0

Community Peer Score

16.4

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

2021 Leaderboard

Johns Hopkins University

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Epidemiology

COVID: Updated CDC Map Reveals Infection Rates Across US

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

COVID-19 Rates Are Strangely Low This Holiday Season

Time•Dec 19, 2024

US life expectancy has rebounded closer to pre-pandemic levels

CNN•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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