Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will a new Derek Chauvin homicide trial be ordered on or before April 20, 2022?

Resolved :No10%
6
18
Total Forecasters67
Community Prediction10% (7% - 14%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 10%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
82.5
Community Peer Score
3.3
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Law
2021-2025 Leaderboard
George Floyd
Minneapolis

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