Question
On what date will the U.S. CDC announce that they are tracking a SARS-CoV-2 variant that they classify as a variant of high consequence (VOHC)?
Resolved :Above upper bound2024-12-28Total Forecasters19
Community Prediction2024-12-28 (2023-11-24 - 2024-12-31)
Make a Prediction
CDF
My Prediction
communitylower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2024-12-31
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2023-11-24 21:52
2024-12-28 16:41
>2024-12-31 00:00
49.5%
What was the final result?Above upper bound
Community Baseline Score
104.4
Community Peer Score
25.1
Authors:
Opened:May 5, 2021
Closes:May 18, 2021
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:May 5, 2021
Closes:May 18, 2021
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025