Question

If Washington DC and Puerto Rico are not admitted as new states, will Republicans hold the Senate from 2022 to 2030?

Resolved :No1%

28 comments28

Total Forecasters94

Community Prediction1% (0.1% - 2%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

10.1

Community Peer Score

2.6

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Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

Politics

Puerto Rico

Republican Party (US)

US Senate

Washington, D.C.

After the 2024 election, Democrats are at a steep disadvantage in the Senate

•Dec 20, 2024

Trump's victory sets up fight for the House on his turf in 2026

NBC•Dec 14, 2024

Republican House Majority in Peril

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

15%

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?

60%

Will Puerto Rico become a US state prior to 2035?

30%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

Politics

Puerto Rico

Republican Party (US)

US Senate

Washington, D.C.

After the 2024 election, Democrats are at a steep disadvantage in the Senate

•Dec 20, 2024

Trump's victory sets up fight for the House on his turf in 2026

NBC•Dec 14, 2024

Republican House Majority in Peril

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

15%

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?

60%

Will Puerto Rico become a US state prior to 2035?

30%

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

MetaculusM

If Washington DC and Puerto Rico are not admitted as new states, will Republicans hold the Senate from 2022 to 2030?

Make a Prediction

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?

Will Puerto Rico become a US state prior to 2035?

Comments

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?

Will Puerto Rico become a US state prior to 2035?

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?

Will Puerto Rico become a US state prior to 2035?

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?

Will Puerto Rico become a US state prior to 2035?