Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

When will Keir Starmer cease to be Leader of the Labour Party?

13
34
Total Forecasters58
Community Prediction2025-01-01 (2025-01-01 - 2025-01-01)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2025-01-01
...
...
...
...
>2025-01-01 00:00
>2025-01-01 00:00
>2025-01-01 00:00
89.7%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Politics
2021-2025 Leaderboard
United Kingdom
Parliament of the UK
Labour Party (UK)
Keir Starmer
Holborn and St Pancras (UK Parliament constituency)

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