Question

Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?

Resolved :No

6 comments6

Total Forecasters10

Community Prediction40%

Make a Prediction

community: 40%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-10.1

Community Peer Score

33.8

median 40.0%mean 47.3%

Authors:

Adrian

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Natural Sciences

Technology

Thermonuclear weapon

Boosted fission weapon

Timeline of the North Korean nuclear program

Physics

Military science

Nuclear Science and Techniques

North Korea

Will North Korea perform its seventh nuclear test before 2025?

Will the next non-test detonation of a state’s nuclear weapon be immediately preceded by conventional conflict?

80%

Will the US conduct a nuclear test explosion before 2030?

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