Question

Will Taipei enter Level 4 restrictions by May 31st?

Resolved :No

10 comments10

Total Forecasters34

Community Prediction45%

Make a Prediction

community: 45%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-25.7

Community Peer Score

5.4

median 45.0%mean 38.5%

Authors:

huey

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Health & Pandemics

Centers for Disease Control (Taiwan)

Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between China and Taiwan in 2024?

Will China ban all imports from Taiwan, except for electronic parts/inputs, before 2030?

Will China impose a customs quarantine on Taiwan before the following years?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

huey

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Health & Pandemics

Centers for Disease Control (Taiwan)

China starts new round of war games near democratic Taiwan

Al Jazeera•Oct 14, 2024

China Holds War Games Around Taiwan

Time•Oct 14, 2024

China launches large-scale military drills around Taiwan after President Lai’s National Day speech

Guardian•Oct 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch