Question

Will more than 1,000 Palestinians in 2021 be killed in the context of the occupation and conflict?

Resolved :No

3 comments3

Total Forecasters60

Community Prediction4%

Make a Prediction

community: 4%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

75.1

Community Peer Score

-0.4

median 4.0%mean 4.9%

Authors:

GlobalGuessing

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

State of Palestine

West Bank

Israeli–Palestinian conflict

United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs

Gaza Strip

Islamic Jihad Movement in Palestine

Hamas

Palestinian National Authority

Israel

Benjamin Netanyahu

'All this blood, all this death': Palestinians protest Israel war with no end in sight

NPR Online News•Oct 8, 2024

Destruction in Gaza caused by Israel-Hamas war mapped using satellite data

CBS•Oct 8, 2024

What Was Possible Before October 7th, and What Remains Possible Now

New Yorker•Oct 8, 2024

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