Question

Will more than 10,000 rockets, mortars, and missiles be fired from Palestine at Israel in 2021?

Resolved :No

7 comments7

Total Forecasters67

Community Prediction4%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 4%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

71.9

Community Peer Score

5.5

median 4.0%mean 5.6%

Authors:

GlobalGuessing

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

State of Palestine

West Bank

Israel Defense Forces

Jewish Virtual Library

Gaza Strip

Hamas

Palestinian National Authority

Israel

Will the number of deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran reach the following thresholds before 2026?

The Israel-Hamas War: Forecasting in Unprecedented Times

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

Comments

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Authors:

GlobalGuessing

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

State of Palestine

West Bank

Israel Defense Forces

Jewish Virtual Library

Gaza Strip

Hamas

Palestinian National Authority

Israel

Iran-linked attacks against US skyrocket by 600% since Oct 2023 Hamas attack on Israel: report

FOX News•Nov 13, 2024

Daily Hezbollah strikes begin to dwindle as Israel closes in on cease-fire deal: officials

New York Post•Nov 15, 2024

Scores killed by Israeli strikes on Gaza; suspects arrested for firing flares at Netanyahu's house

NBC•Nov 17, 2024

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