Question
When will be the first successful launch of a Starship second stage that has been flown once before? (Continued)
Resolved :Above upper bound2022-05-14Total Forecasters44
Community Prediction2022-05-14 (2022-05-11 - 2022-05-14)
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CDF
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | 11 May 2022 | — |
median | >14 May 2022 | — |
upper 75% | >14 May 2022 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>2022-05-14 | 72.9% | — |
What was the final result?Above upper bound
Community Baseline Score
85.1
Community Peer Score
49.3
Authors:
Opened:May 21, 2021
Closes:Dec 24, 2021
Resolves:May 16, 2022
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Authors:
Opened:May 21, 2021
Closes:Dec 24, 2021
Resolves:May 16, 2022