Question

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

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Total Forecasters49

Community Prediction12.5%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 12.5%

median 12.5%mean 16.8%

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Elections

Politics

Puerto Rico

Democratic Party (US)

Republican Party (US)

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?

60%

Will Puerto Rico become a US state prior to 2035?

32.2%

Will a second US state adopt a unicameral legislature before January 1, 2050?

29.2%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Elections

Politics

Puerto Rico

Democratic Party (US)

Republican Party (US)

Republicans Only Four Seats Away From House Control—But Key Races Too Close To Call

Forbes•Nov 11, 2024

The Democrats’ Senate Nightmare Is Only Beginning

Atlantic•Nov 12, 2024

How Democrats Can Win Back the Senate

Newsweek•Nov 12, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?

60%

Will Puerto Rico become a US state prior to 2035?

32.2%

Will a second US state adopt a unicameral legislature before January 1, 2050?

29.2%