Question

Will the Somerton Man's DNA match that of "Jestyn's" family?

10 comments10

Total Forecasters37

Community Prediction20% (10% - 25%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 20%

Authors:

Grigfall

Opened:

Jun 14, 2021

Closes:

Dec 30, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 30, 2025

Natural Sciences

Politics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Tamam Shud case

Jestyn Murphy

Jessica M. Thompson

I had sex with my brother. I was furious when I realized... but the attraction doesn't just go away

Daily Mail•Feb 27, 2025

17 Family Secrets Exposed From Ancestry Tests

Buzzfeed•Mar 1, 2025

Bryan Kohberger trial: Defense signals it will focus on challenging DNA evidence

CNN•Mar 1, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will DNA testing vindicate Jeanne Calment as the oldest recorded person in history?

44%

Will the Tasmanian Tiger be brought back from extinction before 2035?

20%

Will there be adversarial use of consumer genomic data before 2030?

73%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Grigfall

Opened:

Jun 14, 2021

Closes:

Dec 30, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 30, 2025

Natural Sciences

Politics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Tamam Shud case

Jestyn Murphy

Jessica M. Thompson

I had sex with my brother. I was furious when I realized... but the attraction doesn't just go away

Daily Mail•Feb 27, 2025

17 Family Secrets Exposed From Ancestry Tests

Buzzfeed•Mar 1, 2025

Bryan Kohberger trial: Defense signals it will focus on challenging DNA evidence

CNN•Mar 1, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will DNA testing vindicate Jeanne Calment as the oldest recorded person in history?

44%

Will the Tasmanian Tiger be brought back from extinction before 2035?

20%

Will there be adversarial use of consumer genomic data before 2030?

73%