Question

Will Elizabeth Holmes be convicted on fraud charges related to Theranos before 2023?

Resolved :Yes

84 comments84

Total Forecasters126

Community Prediction80%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 80%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

69.4

Community Peer Score

1.3

median 80.0%mean 79.7%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Law

Ramesh Balwani

Palo Alto, California

U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission

Forbes

Elizabeth Holmes

The Wall Street Journal

Theranos

Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services

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59%

Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026?

Will Donald J. Trump be convicted of at least one count in his federal court cases before the end of 2024?

0.1%

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