Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Elizabeth Holmes be convicted on fraud charges related to Theranos before 2023?

Resolved :Yes80%
20
84
Total Forecasters126
Community Prediction80% (75% - 83%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 80%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
69.4
Community Peer Score
1.3
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Law
2021 Leaderboard
Ramesh Balwani
Palo Alto, California
U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission
Forbes
Elizabeth Holmes
The Wall Street Journal
Theranos
Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services

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