Question

Will the "silver" Turing Test be passed by 2026?

193

58 comments58

Total Forecasters791

Community Prediction60% (40% - 75%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 60%

This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved

Authors:

nostradamus

Opened:

Feb 2, 2016

Closed:

Mar 1, 2020

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

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How many years after the silver Turing Test is passed will an AGI system be developed?

1.34

Before 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet?

80%

When will an AI first pass a long, informed, adversarial Turing test?

2029-02-07

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