Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

We're considering changes to the Quarterly Cup and want to hear from you, take our short survey to share your thoughts and help shape future iterations of the Cup.

M

Question

What fraction of the world's population will live in a democracy in 2040?

16
10
Total Forecasters27
Community Prediction53.5 (42.6 - 63.7)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
42.56
53.5
63.71
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Charles
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Geopolitics
Our World in Data
China

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