Question

What fraction of the world's population will live in a democracy in 2040?

Total Forecasters27

Community Prediction53.5 (42.6 - 63.7)

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CDF

weight:

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%
community	42.56	53.5	63.71
My Prediction	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	42.56	—
median	53.5	—
upper 75%	63.71	—

Authors:

Charles

Opened:

Jun 14, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2040

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2041

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