Question

Will one government govern 80% of Earth's population and economy by 2100?

24 comments24

Total Forecasters146

Community Prediction9%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 9%

median 9.0%mean 16.0%

Authors:

Charles

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Accession of Turkey to the EU

Will the Communist Party of China continuously control the Chinese government until the year 2100?

25%

Will the population of the United States be higher than the People's Republic of China at any point before 2200?

12%

What will be the China-to-USA GDP ratio in 2050?

1.16

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Charles

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Accession of Turkey to the EU

The Guardian view on China’s growth limits: shifting to a post-industrial economy is tough | Editorial

Guardian•Nov 13, 2024

Why China's Birth Rate Plans Aren't Working

Newsweek•Nov 13, 2024

APEC/G20: World leaders heading to major summits are wary of Trump. China’s Xi sees an opportunity

CNN•Nov 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the Communist Party of China continuously control the Chinese government until the year 2100?

25%

Will the population of the United States be higher than the People's Republic of China at any point before 2200?

12%

What will be the China-to-USA GDP ratio in 2050?

1.16