Question

Will one government govern 80% of Earth's population and economy by 2100?

25 comments25

Total Forecasters145

Community Prediction6% (2% - 16.7%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 6%

Authors:

Charles

Opened:

Jun 29, 2021

Closes:

Jul 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2100

Accession of Turkey to the EU

Mongol Empire

Roman Empire

United States

What Will China Do With Its Newfound Military Power?

Newsweek•Jan 21, 2025

Warning Issued on 'Population Collapse' by 2100

Newsweek•Jan 21, 2025

Runner-Up: China May Have to Settle for Second Place Behind America

Newsweek•Jan 22, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the Communist Party of China continuously control the Chinese government until the year 2100?

25%

Will the population of the United States be higher than the People's Republic of China at any point before 2200?

12%

What will be the China-to-USA GDP ratio in 2050?

1.16

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Charles

Opened:

Jun 29, 2021

Closes:

Jul 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2100

Accession of Turkey to the EU

Mongol Empire

Roman Empire

United States

What Will China Do With Its Newfound Military Power?

Newsweek•Jan 21, 2025

Warning Issued on 'Population Collapse' by 2100

Newsweek•Jan 21, 2025

Runner-Up: China May Have to Settle for Second Place Behind America

Newsweek•Jan 22, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the Communist Party of China continuously control the Chinese government until the year 2100?

25%

Will the population of the United States be higher than the People's Republic of China at any point before 2200?

12%

What will be the China-to-USA GDP ratio in 2050?

1.16