Question

Will one government govern 80% of Earth's population and economy by 2100?

25 comments25

Total Forecasters145

Community Prediction6% (2% - 16.7%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 6%

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Authors:

Charles

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Accession of Turkey to the EU

Analyst Predicts Slower-Than-Targeted Growth for China

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

Pentagon Map Shows Chinese Navy's Global Footprint

Newsweek•Dec 21, 2024

Map Reveals States Driving Fastest Population Growth In Decades

Newsweek•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the Communist Party of China continuously control the Chinese government until the year 2100?

25%

Will the population of the United States be higher than the People's Republic of China at any point before 2200?

12%

What will be the China-to-USA GDP ratio in 2050?

1.16

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Charles

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Accession of Turkey to the EU

Analyst Predicts Slower-Than-Targeted Growth for China

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

Pentagon Map Shows Chinese Navy's Global Footprint

Newsweek•Dec 21, 2024

Map Reveals States Driving Fastest Population Growth In Decades

Newsweek•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the Communist Party of China continuously control the Chinese government until the year 2100?

25%

Will the population of the United States be higher than the People's Republic of China at any point before 2200?

12%

What will be the China-to-USA GDP ratio in 2050?

1.16

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Will one government govern 80% of Earth's population and economy by 2100?

Make a Prediction

Will the Communist Party of China continuously control the Chinese government until the year 2100?

Will the population of the United States be higher than the People's Republic of China at any point before 2200?

What will be the China-to-USA GDP ratio in 2050?

Comments

Will the Communist Party of China continuously control the Chinese government until the year 2100?

Will the population of the United States be higher than the People's Republic of China at any point before 2200?

What will be the China-to-USA GDP ratio in 2050?

Will the Communist Party of China continuously control the Chinese government until the year 2100?

Will the population of the United States be higher than the People's Republic of China at any point before 2200?

What will be the China-to-USA GDP ratio in 2050?

Will the Communist Party of China continuously control the Chinese government until the year 2100?

Will the population of the United States be higher than the People's Republic of China at any point before 2200?

What will be the China-to-USA GDP ratio in 2050?